I have been considering this scenario for several days. One sentiment that threads through the UFO community for decades is that the government cannot be trusted, at least when it comes to UFOs. It seems that many now extend that to nearly everything. Unfortunately, with partisan politics, we seem to pick and choose when a government is more trustworthy or less, depending upon which political party is in power.
For example: the upcoming DoD disclosure many feel is directly attributable to President Trump who signed a COVID-19 relief bill with the added
INTELLIGENCE AUTHORIZATION ACT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2021 attached to it. This might make Trump a hero to some in the UFO community, although personally, I think he was just trying to get a last minute win by having legislation move forward in his administration, especially in regards to the public needing continued pandemic relief. This intelligence authorization came out of the Senate Intelligence Committee in July of last year, which Marco Rubio headed. And interestingly, Rubio has recently commented on this. From that link above, here's the specific context in black and white glory:
The Committee supports the efforts of the Unidentified
Aerial Phenomenon Task Force at the Office of Naval
Intelligence to standardize collection and reporting on
unidentified aerial phenomenon, any links they have to
adversarial foreign governments, and the threat they pose to
U.S. military assets and installations. However, the Committee
remains concerned that there is no unified, comprehensive
process within the Federal Government for collecting and
analyzing intelligence on unidentified aerial phenomena,
despite the potential threat. The Committee understands that
the relevant intelligence may be sensitive; nevertheless, the
Committee finds that the information sharing and coordination
across the Intelligence Community has been inconsistent, and
this issue has lacked attention from senior leaders.
Therefore, the Committee directs the DNI, in consultation
with the Secretary of Defense and the heads of such other
agencies as the Director and Secretary jointly consider
relevant, to submit a report within 180 days of the date of
enactment of the Act, to the congressional intelligence and
armed services committees on unidentified aerial phenomena
(also known as ``anomalous aerial vehicles''), including
observed airborne objects that have not been identified.So these leaked video releases seem to coordinate with the disclosure coming... that disclosure is not for the public. It's for Congress. There have been military-minded analysts that are claiming the videos are proof that foreign state actors, probably Russian or Chinese are using drones to spy on our military assets and capabilities. Others are crowing that it's proof that the US govt has known all along that aliens are here.
So let's talk about that specifically. Who to trust, who not to trust, can our minds be made up before any disclosure, and whether or not there even will be any disclosure.
Are the Russians or Chinese behind the the things we see in these videos?
- These could be faked videos, but not from civilian sources trying to make a quick buck. That would mean the military is behind manufacturing these videos as a coordinated psyop.
- The videos are real, but explained by foreign state actors, who most likely would be only China or Russia. Very few countries have the combination of capability, capital, and motive to try this. For these drones to be able to elude capture would require a lot sophistication and mobilization. So though it CAN be a foreign state actor, it seems to be somewhat a stretch.
- Something... else we do not yet have the ability to explain.
If we use various intellectual or scientific razors, I don't think any of the above could be "the likeliest scenario".
- It isn't that the government hasn't conducted psyops on the public before; it's that they're pretty bad at it. They're bad at conducting it, and they're bad at keeping it secret. The more cynical and aware the public is, and the more socially connected the lot of us are (including people in the government), the harder it is to keep secrets. The government under President Trump was notoriously bad at preventing intelligence leaks; and that's when this psyop would have to have been coordinated, starting with the Intelligence Authorization act.
- Antagonistic State drones evading capture, splashing into the ocean, and being picked up by submarines seems harder to believe than actual aliens.
- Aliens, time travelers, or interdimensional beings... it's quite a lot to say that holds as much probable weight as the conjecture above.
Now let's talk about this quote from zerohedge.
"At a time of heightened animosity towards Russia and China and febrile talk among Pentagon chiefs about the possibility of all-out war, it is not difficult to imagine, indeed it is disturbingly easy to imagine, how optical illusions about alien phenomena could trigger false alarms attributed to Russian or Chinese military incursions."First off, we're talking about zerohedge, which has been attributed as being a peddler for conspiracy and Russian propaganda.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero_Hedge Wouldn't it seem in keeping with a site that is reputed to have pro-Russian bias to claim there's "heightened animosity toward Russia" in DoD circles? And there's a reason for this increased animosity toward Russia and China - both countries have ramped up cyber attacks on our government and corporate institutions as well as made bellicose stances and warnings for the United States to keep out of their affairs while encroaching upon other countries. Hell, a Russian merc outfit outright attacked US ground forces in Syria last year.
If the DoD wants heightened hostilities with Russia and/or China, they don't need a story about UFOs to carry that out. They just need to station our forces or sail our navies toward one of several hotspots to get heightened tensions and a provocation towards conflict: South China Seas, the Black Sea, Northern India, or several spots in the Middle East (Syria among others). Manufacturing UAPs and UFOs to try and get us toward war seems harder and more counterproductive than just putting ships and boots near a hot zone. There was one possibility I left off which was the misidentification or normal phenomena. I left it off as it's the least likely of all the possibilities. The DoD and various intelligence groups have gone to great lengths to use those explanations of UFOs and UAPs. How would these organizations, so ready to explain UFOs thusly, resort to NOT believing those tried and true explanations? Especially when you have a division of the military intelligence dedicated to identifying UAPs and possible air space intrusions now claiming they don't know what these things are. Sun dogs an weather balloons don't seem to cut it here.
I'm not saying any of the above explanations have zero chance of being true. One of the above is likeliest to be the actual fact after all. It's just... there's a lot to go through for any of them to be true. It would be very remarkable if the government could coordinate and orchestrate a psyop of this magnitude. It would be equally remarkable if a foreign state actor could utilize drones in the fashion they do over open waters and get away with it. And the thought it can be esoteric, as tantalizing as it is, well, my mind is still adjusting. And finally, misidentifying natural phenomena, even with a dedicated military unit to review the evidence, that would point to a massive failure of intelligence, excusing the pun.
I will say if this IS a psyop, it speaks as much to the public's willingness to believe the government is hiding UFOs as to the government's willingness to try such an outrageous plan.
Disclosure: all the news talking about a disclosure coming leaves out that the Intelligence Authorization act specifically is for Congress. There's no mention of it being made public, and the face of that public call, Lue Elizondo, isn't even working with AATIP anymore. He resigned in the first year of Trump's presidency.
Elizondo resigned from the Pentagon in October 2017 to protest government secrecy and opposition to the investigation, stating in a resignation letter to US Defense Secretary James Mattis that the program was not being taken seriously. Elizondo WANTS transparency, but doesn't have the authority to make it happen. This also points toward this being against a psyop. Elizondo would have to be an unwitting part of it, or else being in a very long con. That doesn't mean the public won't find out about this stuff. You can bet on two things happening in the coming months: leaks from government sources and journalists pressing the government with FOIA requests. We will know
something and probably soon. It's just how much will we know?