Post by swamprat on Feb 27, 2019 1:11:50 GMT
Hmm.... My respect for "scientific analysis" just dropped a bit.
Humans are likely alone in the universe, study concludes
Jeff Parsons
26 Feb 2019
A team of international researchers have put the brakes on any idea of humankind coming into contact with extraterrestrials in the near future.
In a new study published online they conclude that we are the only intelligent life in the known universe. The team used the famous Fermi paradox as the basis for their study. The paradox looks at the contradiction between the high probability of existence of alien civilizations and the overwhelming lack of evidence we’ve found since starting to scan the stars.
The researchers took the paradox, which was developed in the first half of the 20th century, then incorporated new elements such as bias and uncertainty. In a nutshell, they reckon it’s not as accurate as previously thought. The report is entitled ‘Dissolving the Fermi Paradox,’ and the researchers come to the conclusion we’re very much alone in the known galaxy. ”One can answer the Fermi Paradox by saying intelligence is very rare, but then it needs to be tremendously rare,’ said Anders Sandberg, a researcher at Oxford University and a lead author of the study. ‘Another possibility is that intelligence doesn’t last very long, but it is enough that one civilization survives for it to become visible,’ he told Universetoday.com.
In the report, the researchers go on to say that even if we did somehow stumble across aliens, they may not be intelligent ones. ‘When the model is recast to represent realistic distributions of uncertainty, we find a substantial ex ante probability of there being no other intelligent life in our observable universe, and thus that there should be little surprise when we fail to detect any signs of it,’ the team wrote.
‘This result dissolves the Fermi paradox, and in doing so removes any need to invoke speculative mechanisms by which civilizations would inevitably fail to have observable effects upon the universe.’ Bottom line: time to go back to those X-Files re-runs on Netflix because that’s the closest we’re going to get to any sort of alien encounter at the moment.
metro.co.uk/2019/02/26/humans-likely-alone-universe-study-concludes-8747817/
Humans are likely alone in the universe, study concludes
Jeff Parsons
26 Feb 2019
A team of international researchers have put the brakes on any idea of humankind coming into contact with extraterrestrials in the near future.
In a new study published online they conclude that we are the only intelligent life in the known universe. The team used the famous Fermi paradox as the basis for their study. The paradox looks at the contradiction between the high probability of existence of alien civilizations and the overwhelming lack of evidence we’ve found since starting to scan the stars.
The researchers took the paradox, which was developed in the first half of the 20th century, then incorporated new elements such as bias and uncertainty. In a nutshell, they reckon it’s not as accurate as previously thought. The report is entitled ‘Dissolving the Fermi Paradox,’ and the researchers come to the conclusion we’re very much alone in the known galaxy. ”One can answer the Fermi Paradox by saying intelligence is very rare, but then it needs to be tremendously rare,’ said Anders Sandberg, a researcher at Oxford University and a lead author of the study. ‘Another possibility is that intelligence doesn’t last very long, but it is enough that one civilization survives for it to become visible,’ he told Universetoday.com.
In the report, the researchers go on to say that even if we did somehow stumble across aliens, they may not be intelligent ones. ‘When the model is recast to represent realistic distributions of uncertainty, we find a substantial ex ante probability of there being no other intelligent life in our observable universe, and thus that there should be little surprise when we fail to detect any signs of it,’ the team wrote.
‘This result dissolves the Fermi paradox, and in doing so removes any need to invoke speculative mechanisms by which civilizations would inevitably fail to have observable effects upon the universe.’ Bottom line: time to go back to those X-Files re-runs on Netflix because that’s the closest we’re going to get to any sort of alien encounter at the moment.
metro.co.uk/2019/02/26/humans-likely-alone-universe-study-concludes-8747817/
